Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been important for controlling SARS-CoV-2 transmission, particularly before and during initial vaccine rollout. During the pandemic, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued isolation and masking guidance in case of COVID-19-like illness, a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, or known exposure to SARS-CoV-2. However, the impact of this guidance on mitigating transmission in office workplaces is unclear. We used a network-based mathematical model to estimate the impact of this guidance on SARS-CoV-2 transmission among office workers and their communities. The model represented social contacts in the home, office, and community. We used data from the CorporateMix study to parametrize social contacts among office workers and calibrated the model to represent the COVID-19 epidemic in Georgia, USA from January 2021 through August 2022. In the reference scenario (58% adherence to guidance among office workers and the broader population), workplace transmission accounted for a small fraction of total infections. Reducing adherence among office workers to 0% increased workplace transmissions by 27.1% and increasing adherence to 75% reduced workplace transmission by 7.0%. Increasing adherence to 75% among office workers had minimal impact on symptomatic cases and deaths; increasing it among the broader population was more effective in reducing office worker cases and deaths. In our model, moderate adherence to recommended NPIs in workplaces was effective in reducing transmission, but increasing adherence had limited benefit given workplaces that have low contact intensity and hybrid work arrangements. These results underscore the public health benefits of community-wide adoption of recommended NPIs.
Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.
Funding StatementThis work was supported by the CDC/NCEZID [cooperative agreement 5U01CK00057] and the NIH/NICHD [grant number R01HD097175]. Maria Garcia Quesada was supported by NIH/NIAID (T32AI138952, T32AI074492) and by Emory University and the Infectious Disease Across Scales Training Program (IDASTP). The findings and conclusions of this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases or the National Institutes of Health, nor of Emory University or IDASTP.
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